Instant Runoffs An Idea Worth Debating

How do you eliminate millions spent by local governments and at the same time reduce by one the number of times that voters are called to the polls? According to the Fort Worth Star Telegram, the answer to that riddle is instant runoff elections that are calculated and compiled on the spot the moment a primary election result warrants a runoff.

Under the proposed plan that is used in other parts of the nation, instead of going to the primary polls and picking just one candidate out of a crowded field, voters would rank all the candidates in a race from highest to lowest preference. This way if candidate A and candidate B qualified for a primary runoff but you put top preference on candidate C, your runoff vote would then automatically bestow to which of the two remaining candidates (A and B) you ranked higher. The end result, the ranking system calculates primary runoff votes as soon as a runoff is triggered and runoff winners are crowned on the same night as the primary election.

An interesting concept that would certainly: save county election divisions the costly hosting off runoff elections that voters sometimes turn a cold shoulder too, spare voters one less trip to the polls, and shorten campaign cycles. But as with every innovative idea, there is a double-edged sword at play, so let’s take a look at the pros and cons from the perspective of certain players entrenched in the process.

The Candidates

Candidates running in crowded party primaries will like this because not only does it reduce the time required to campaign for public office by 5 weeks, but it will also drastically cut the price, as runoffs tend to grow exponentially more expensive as the field narrows. So this would allow candidates to spend more time in front of voters and less time on the phone dialing for dollars, as well as exit from the primary campaign trail ahead of schedule.

Now, here’s why they won’t like it. If you are a candidate who qualifies for a runoff, under the instant system you will be deprived of the opportunity for voters to do a straight comparison between just you and your runoff opponent, a critical factor that could be the only way you win the popular vote.

The Lobby and Political Donors

Obviously the money men would love this system because it means that they will not be called upon in the months of March and April to open up their checkbooks for expensive runoff races. But on the flip side, if prominent donors financially back a candidate who does not qualify for the runoff, they will be deprived the opportunity to make amends with those candidates that do. Also, if their candidate comes in second on election night and then is automatically calculated to again come in second in the instant runoff, donors are denied the chance to double their efforts in the 5 week runoff and see to it that their candidate pulls through in the end.

Voters

The voting population in Texas will shine upon this idea because it counts for one less time that they have to go to the polls, which they think is already too many times. I disagree with this view because I see voting in elections as a privilege and not a burden, but alas, I am in the minority.

Forget the fact that this move would shift negative campaign tactics out of one-on-one runoffs and into crowded primaries, causing five times the mud slinging. Where voters would most oppose this move is on the grounds of change. Voters in Texas are still hesitant to use electronic ballots (and I’m not saying they should or should not be), and there are still those who refuse to employ the convenience of early voting. So consider how aphrensive voters will be when they’re asked to not bubble in one circle in a race, but instead to place a ranking on all the candidates involved.

So like I insenuated in this post’s title, instant runoffs is a good idea, but one that needs to be properly vetted first.

  1. 2 Responses to “Instant Runoffs An Idea Worth Debating”

  2. By Greg on Apr 29, 2008

    Hi Jack, first time reading the blog. I’m glad you like IRV, and you raise some very thoughtful, interesting points. I’ll offer some replies that I hope alleviate some of your concerns:

    You wrote: “If you are a candidate who qualifies for a runoff, under the instant system you will be deprived of the opportunity for voters to do a straight comparison between just you and your runoff opponent”

    My reply: That’s a valid concern, but in practice doesn’t seem to be an overriding one in practice. In the places where IRV has been enacted, voters don’t seem to mind having to do an extra bit of homework in advance if it saves them time and money. The high poll numbers in favor of IRV in those places reflects a strong preference for IRV over plurality. Also, I don’t know the situation in Fort Worth, but in many locations with non-instant runoffs, the runoff election receives very poor turnout. So even if people have the opportunity to do a straight comparison between two candidates, many are not taking up that opportunity anyway.

    You wrote: “if prominent donors financially back a candidate who does not qualify for the runoff, they will be deprived the opportunity to make amends with those candidates that do”

    My reply: The ability of prominent donors to “make amends” probably shouldn’t be a guiding concern when choosing a voting system, but let’s run with it anyway. With IRV, if a donor sees two competitive candidates of like-minded views, the donor should feel free to give money to both, without worrying they could hurt each other’s chances. In fact, that’s quite a wise strategy. If A and B are very similar candidates, turning out supporters of A to the polls will mean for second choices for B, and turnig out B’s supporters means more second choices for A. The result: an increased likelihood that either A or B will win.

    You wrote: “this move would shift negative campaign tactics out of one-on-one runoffs and into crowded primaries, causing five times the mud slinging”

    My reply: Actually, IRV has the impact of *decreasing* negative campaigning. This was perhaps most evident in the IRV races in San Francisco, where candidates were seen campaigning together, holding joint events, and cooperating. Under IRV, there is a strong incentive against mud-slinging that might turn off supporters of other candidates, because if you can’t be a voter’s first choice, you at least want to be that voter’s second choice on the ballot.

  3. By Jake Hatlin on Apr 29, 2008

    Re: Greg

    Thanks for adding your well positioned thoughts. Just so we are clear, I never said that election formats should be decided based upon donor preferences, I simply said this is why donors would not prefer IRV.

    If you say that IRV will decrease negative campaigning, I will take you on your word. But that does not take away from the likely scenario that voters will reject IRV based upon the change aspect.

    All that said, I support debating this idea in an open forum.

    Thanks for being a reader.

Post a Comment